Did anyone see this paper on a “universal collapse constant” (λ=8.0)? Seems to predict Luna and 2008 GFC way in advance.
I stumbled across this whitepaper on Zenodo today and it’s honestly kind of wild. It claims to have found a universal constant (λ=8.0) that governs systemic collapse across different domains (Finance, Crypto, even Healthcare capacity). The author (some anon group “Independent Research Unit”) derives a vector-based risk metric using Langevin dynamics and Information Theory. The crazy part is the validation: 1. It apparently flagged the 2008 GFC crash 13 months before Lehman (when Basel metrics were silent). 2. […]