arXiv:2601.05274v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The use of neural networks trained on individual claims data has become increasingly popular in the actuarial reserving literature. We consider how to best input historical payment data in neural network models. Additionally, case estimates are also available in the format of a time series, and we extend our analysis to assessing their predictive power. In this paper, we compare a feed-forward neural network trained on summarised transactions to a recurrent neural network […]

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Reinforcement learning (RL) for large-scale Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models faces significant challenges in computational efficiency and data acquisition. We propose AcceRL, a fully asynchronous and decoupled RL framework designed to eliminate synchronization barriers by physically isolating training, inference, and rollouts. Crucially, AcceRL is the first to integrate a plug-and-play, trainable world model into a distributed asynchronous RL pipeline to generate virtual experiences. Experiments on the LIBERO benchmark demonstrate that AcceRL achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance. Systematically, it exhibits super-linear scaling […]

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On March 10, my company, Vorticom, Inc. turns twenty-three years old. That milestone carries a bit more meaning when you consider the odds. According to the U.S. Small Business Administration’s Office of Advocacy, only about half of small businesses survive five years and roughly one-third make it to ten. When a company crosses into its third decade, it has already outlasted most of the businesses that began the journey with it. But the story of how Vorticom began […]

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Federated prognostics enable clients (e.g., companies, factories, and production lines) to collaboratively develop a failure time prediction model while keeping each client’s data local and confidential. However, traditional federated models often assume homogeneity in the degradation processes across clients, an assumption that may not hold in many industrial settings. To overcome this, this paper proposes a personalized federated prognostic model designed to accommodate clients with heterogeneous degradation processes, allowing them to build tailored prognostic models. The prognostic model […]

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Tropical cyclones are dangerous natural hazards, but their hazard is challenging to quantify directly from historical datasets due to limited dataset size and quality. Models of cyclone intensification fill this data gap by simulating huge ensembles of synthetic hurricanes based on estimates of the storm’s large scale environment. Both physics-based and statistical/ML intensification models have been developed to tackle this problem, but an open question is: can a physically reasonable and simple physics-style differential equation model of intensification […]

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arXiv:2601.16429v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Existing face-swapping methods often deliver competitive results in constrained settings but exhibit substantial quality degradation when handling extreme facial poses. To improve facial pose robustness, explicit geometric features are applied, but this approach remains problematic since it introduces additional dependencies and increases computational cost. Diffusion-based methods have achieved remarkable results; however, they are impractical for real-time processing. We introduce AlphaFace, which leverages an open-source vision-language model and CLIP image and text embeddings to […]

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We introduce Parallel Coordinated Reasoning (PaCoRe), a training-and-inference framework designed to overcome a central limitation of contemporary language models: their inability to scale test-time compute (TTC) far beyond sequential reasoning under a fixed context window. PaCoRe departs from the traditional sequential paradigm by driving TTC through massive parallel exploration coordinated via a message-passing architecture in multiple rounds. Each round launches many parallel reasoning trajectories, compacts their findings into context-bounded messages, and synthesizes these messages to guide the next […]

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