The Powers of Precision: Structure-Informed Detection in Complex Systems — From Customer Churn to Seizure Onset
arXiv:2601.21170v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Emergent phenomena — onset of epileptic seizures, sudden customer churn, or pandemic outbreaks — often arise from hidden causal interactions in complex systems. We propose a machine learning method for their early detection that addresses a core challenge: unveiling and harnessing a system’s latent causal structure despite the data-generating process being unknown and partially observed. The method learns an optimal feature representation from a one-parameter family of estimators — powers of the empirical […]