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What Are the Best & Worst-Case Tariff Scenarios?

What Are the Best & Worst-Case Tariff Scenarios?

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  I discussed much of this in my Q2 2025 RWM client quarterly call on April 5. I am sharing this now because so many questions have poured in.   Best Worst Cases Last Monday, I discussed the consequences of chaos. While the purposes of the new tariff policy were not well explained – some of the goals were muddled and unclear – it seems a large part of the problem was the roll-out. It was ham-fisted, opaque, […]

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Colorado Will Soon Require a Discretionary Permit To Acquire Semiautomatic Rifles

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A bill that Colorado Gov. Jared Polis signed into law last week requires residents of that state to obtain the government’s permission and complete 12 hours of firearms training before they can legally obtain semiautomatic rifles that accept detachable magazines. The law, which Polis improbably claims “will make Colorado safer,” imposes broad restrictions on firearm ownership that seem inconsistent with the test that the Supreme Court has said gun control laws must pass to comply with the Second […]

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Why Due Process Matters

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In this week’s The Reason Roundtable, editors Peter Suderman, Katherine Mangu-Ward, Nick Gillespie, and Matt Welch discuss how President Donald Trump is de-prioritizing due process by not adhering to a ruling from the Supreme Court. They also talk about how Harvard University’s tax status could be in jeopardy and reflect on the legacy of Pope Francis. 0:00—Introduction 0:12—The Pope’s legacy 5:56—Is the democracy emergency here? 15:27—Deportations without due process 29:19—Harvard funding pause 41:25—Weekly listener question 48:11—Lightning round: What’s happening at the Pentagon? What’s going […]

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With Adriano Bosoni and Cris Sheridan Apr 14, 2025 – The global economy is shifting in ways most people don’t fully grasp. On today’s FS Insider episode, Adriano Bosoni, director of analysis at RANE, shares a unique perspective on Trump’s tariff strategy—revealing how it’s reshaping global supply chains…

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Brickbat: Betraying Secrets

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Samantha Hill, a former Devon and Cornwall Police officer, received a 20-month suspended prison sentence after pleading guilty to 18 counts of misconduct for leaking sensitive information. Between January and November 2021, while working as a probationary officer, Hill shared confidential details with her friends and family, including information about a man’s suicide, photos of a victim’s injuries, and details of high-profile cases such as a shooting that left five people dead. The leaks were uncovered by the […]

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Don’t Fear the Bird Flu When Dyeing Easter Eggs

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Dyeing eggs as part of the Easter celebration goes back at least as far as the Middle Ages, and perhaps earlier. Some 47 percent of Americans are, however, planning to forego this happy ritual this season, according to a survey by WalletHub. Why? Because eggs cost too damned much. The rising per capita demand for eggs has contributed to higher prices for chicken ova, but the recent steep increase largely stems from outbreaks of H5N1 bird flu virus […]

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How Far Will the Trump Administration Go Against Mexican Drug Cartels?

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President Donald Trump promised on the campaign trail that he’d go after Mexico’s drug cartels, which he claimed in January “essentially run” that country. Since taking office, he has leaned on militaristic tactics to stop the flow of fentanyl into the U.S., an approach that invites conflict—and plenty of collateral damage. In January, when Fox News asked Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth whether the administration would use the military against cartels, he replied that “all options will be on the table.” In February, […]

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